As of June 2026, Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity has an AI-exposure score of 46/100 (Moderate exposure) on the AI-Safe Careers index, blending O*NET tasks, the Anthropic Economic Index, the Penn/OpenAI study, and BLS data. This is an estimate of task exposure, not a prediction of job loss.

AI Exposure Score for

Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity

46/100
Moderate exposure
LowModerateElevatedHighVery High

More exposed than 24% of the roles we track. Median pay ~US$59,050. About 20,900 projected openings a year (BLS 2024–34 — growth plus replacement).

Pay & demand figures are US medians (BLS, in USD) — your local figures will differ. Your exposure score applies broadly.

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How you compare to similar Transportation roles

Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity (you)
46
Parking Attendants
46
Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers
46
Crane and Tower Operators
46
Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators
46
Sailors and Marine Oilers
47
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Your tasks, by AI exposure

Automatable
  • Record information, such as cash receipts and ticket fares, and maintain log book.
Augmentable
  • Assist passengers, such as elderly or individuals with disabilities, on and off bus, ensure they are seated properly, help carry baggage, and answer questions about bus schedules or routes.
  • Drive vehicles over specified routes or to specified destinations according to time schedules, complying with traffic regulations to ensure that passengers have a smooth and safe ride.
  • Handle passenger emergencies or disruptions.
  • Report delays or accidents.
  • Load and unload baggage in baggage compartments.
  • Read maps to plan bus routes.
  • Announce stops to passengers.
  • Collect tickets or cash fares from passengers.
  • Park vehicles at loading areas so that passengers can board.
  • Advise passengers to be seated and orderly while on vehicles.
  • Maintain cleanliness of bus or motor coach.
  • Regulate heating, lighting, and ventilating systems for passenger comfort.
Durable
  • Inspect vehicles and check gas, oil, and water levels prior to departure.

Safer adjacent roles

YOUR ROLE TODAY
Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity 46
→
Subway and Streetcar Operators 80% overlap51Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters 72% overlap56Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 64% overlap51
Subway and Streetcar Operators
80% skills overlap · Elevated exposure · ~US$86,380
51
Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters
72% skills overlap · Elevated exposure · ~US$78,000
56
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
64% skills overlap · Elevated exposure · ~US$58,640
51
Passenger Attendants
56% skills overlap · Moderate exposure · ~US$37,720
43
Light Truck Drivers
48% skills overlap · Elevated exposure · ~US$44,860
57
Locomotive Engineers
40% skills overlap · Elevated exposure · ~US$81,410
54

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Important: This is an estimate of AI exposure, not a prediction that your job will disappear. It is designed to help you understand how your role may change and improve your career resilience.

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